****Updated 30 Sivan 5785 Thursday June 26, 2025*** Tariffs helping inflation and national debt. Slowly but surely. A 90 dollar burrito? #Prophetic #dreams #ThankYouHaShem

****Updated 30 Sivan 5785 Thursday June 26, 2025*** A 90 dollar burrito? #Prophetic #dreams #ThankYouHaShem

Today seems to be an update and review kind of day. I am not a financial expert… yet! So of course, I went to ChatGPT to help me pull some of the statistics and examples regarding this dream. What I find a little funny, as in amazing I as I reread the post I clearly remember this dream. Where I was in the dream. Even the food truck that I was ordering the burrito from in the dream. I always fell happy when I can bring great recall.

This whole reflection process has actually been a very wonderful experience for me. I am very grateful to be able to share these recalls and reflections with others.

Anyhoooooooow!

Here’s an updated overview of the U.S. inflation landscape, market trends, and everyday price increases from March 2023 to now (June 2025):


📈 Inflation Rate (CPI – Annual % Change)

The inflation rate began high and steadily declined toward the Federal Reserve’s target:


🛒 Everyday Price Increases

Food & Groceries

  • Eggs: Up ~60% year-over-year in March 2025; monthly jump ~6–15% due to bird flu impacts cnbc.com+1tnj.com+1
  • Beef, bacon, cereal: Notable increases (+0.4–0.5% monthly food CPI in March/April) cnbc.com+15tnj.com+15ft.com+15
  • Grocery prices (UK): +4.7% YoY in June 2025—the fastest pace in over a year thetimes.co.uk
  • Broader food costs: +21.7% (Feb 2020–Fall 2024); +28.5% dining out foodandwine.com

Energy & Fuel

Consumer Goods & Household Items

  • Tariffs (e.g., steel, aluminum, Chinese imports) have boosted manufacturing input costs and pushed consumer goods prices higher barrons.com+11reuters.com+11ft.com+11
  • Dollar Tree raised prices (from $1.25 to $1.50) on some items due to inflation and tariffs businessinsider.com
  • Household brands like P&G, Nestlé signaled upcoming price increases following steep tariffs ft.com

Commodities


💹 Market Trends: U.S. Stocks (S&P 500 via SPY ETF)

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

$611.87

+$4.50(+0.74%)Today

$611.86-$0.01(-0.00%)After Hours1D5D1M6MYTD1Y5Ymax

Open608.95

Volume77.2M

Day Low608.33

Day High612.28

Year Low481.80

Year High613.23

  • Despite inflationary and geopolitical pressures, large-cap stocks (S&P 500’s top firms) have shown resilience—maintaining pricing power and stable margins barrons.com+1reuters.com+1
  • Investors are increasingly favoring mega-cap corporates as hedges against inflation-driven costs.

🏦 Federal Reserve & Monetary Policy

  • March 2023: Fed Funds target set at 4.75–5.00%
  • May–July 2023: Upped to 5.25–5.50%, then held steady into 2024 en.wikipedia.org+1en.wikipedia.org+1
  • Despite cooling inflation, tariffs and commodity pressures suggest potential future volatility.

🔍 Summary: Key Takeaways

  • Inflation peaked post-pandemic, then steadily cooled toward ~2.3–2.4% in mid-2025—just above the Fed’s target.
  • Volatility remains in essential goods—eggs, groceries, cocoa—due to supply shocks, disease outbreaks, and tariffs.
  • Energy lower, with gasoline prices down ~12% YoY.
  • Consumer goods prices rising, as companies pass input costs fueled by tariffs.
  • Large-cap stocks outperform, seen as safer bets in inflationary uncertainty.

Monthly Change (CPI‑U MoM)

  • Peaks: +0.6% in Aug 2023 and Jan 2024
  • Recent smaller moves:
    • Mar 2025: –0.1%
    • Apr 2025: +0.2%
    • May 2025: +0.1%

Annual Inflation Rate

  • Mar 2023: +4.98%
  • Apr 2024 (peak normalization): +3.36%
  • Mar 2024: +3.48%
  • Apr 2025: +2.31%
  • May 2025: +2.35%

🛒 Daily Consumer Goods with Notable Price Increases

  • Eggs
    • Prices surged ~40–60% YoY by early 2025 (from ~$2.50 to ~$4.00–4.95 per dozen) due to bird flu and supply shocks .
    • Restaurant omelet prices jumped ~5.4% YoY, averaging $14.71 in April 2025 .
  • Milk & Bread
    • Grocery milk prices rose alongside supply-chain pressures; suburban shoppers report paying $3–4 for a loaf of French bread and near $9 for yogurt in NYC markets .
  • Coffee & Juice
    • Restaurant coffee prices remained mostly level, but rise in supply issues (weather‑impacted beans) pushed grocery coffee and orange juice prices higher, contributing to a ~2.8% food-at-home CPI increase in late 2024 .
  • Breakfast at Restaurants
    • Omelet costs up +5.4% YoY (~$14.71 median); other breakfast items, like burgers and burritos, saw modest monthly bump in early 2025 .

🔍 Summary

  • CPI has climbed ~6% from March 2023’s 301.6 to May 2025’s 320.6.
  • After peaking above 5% YoY in early 2023, inflation steadily cooled to around 2.3% by spring 2025.
  • Some everyday items, especially eggs, dairy, bread, coffee, and breakfast eats, continue to see sharp price gains.
  • Monthly inflation has slowed significantly, with recent increases often below 0.2%.

✅ What It Means for You

  • A typical $100 grocery basket now costs ~$137 compared to pre-pandemic—a 37% increase—driven by persistent food inflation .
  • Consumers are feeling squeezed by staples even as headline inflation cools.
  • The Fed is watching core CPI (excluding food and energy), which remains around 2.8%, above their 2% target .

But wait there is good news!!!!!!!!!!!!

📊 Tariff Revenue Overview


💡 Impact on Federal Finances


📌 Summary Numbers (April–May 2025)

PeriodGross RevenueNet Revenue Estimate
April 2025$16.3 B
May 2025$23.0 B
Jan–Apr 30, 2025$52 B (net)
Jan–May 31, 2025~$75 B+ (net est.)
  • Gross: ~$63 B (Apr) + ~$23 B (May) = ≈$86 B
  • Net (after refunds): ~$52 B through April + May’s share ≈ $75 B+ by end-May

🇺🇸 Tariff Revenue vs. National Debt

📊 Tariff Revenue in 2025 So Far

  • Total net tariff revenue (Jan–May 2025): approx. $75+ billion
  • Projected for full year 2025 (if trend continues): $180–200 billion
    • This assumes ~$15–17 billion/month continues, based on May’s $23B surge and April’s $16.3B.

💵 National Debt Context

  • U.S. national debt (as of June 2025): over $34.8 trillion
    • Debt rose ~$2 trillion in the past year due to entitlement spending, defense, and interest payments.

📉 Impact Estimate

Even if the U.S. collects $200 billion in tariffs in 2025:

  • That’s about 0.57% of the total national debt.
  • It could reduce the annual deficit, which is projected at ~$1.6–1.7 trillion for FY2025.
  • If applied directly to the principal debt, it would only modestly slow debt growth.

Bottom line:
✔️ Tariffs are providing short-term federal revenue boosts.
❌ But they are not large enough alone to significantly reduce the overall debt unless combined with spending cuts or tax increases.


⚖️ Analogy

Think of tariff revenue as a side hustle paying off a massive mortgage. It helps with monthly bills—but won’t wipe out the debt unless the main budget (spending) is changed.

Soooo basically, things are getting better.

Yes, I am forever an optimistic wonder.

I hope others enjoyed this post and update!

until next time,

Rheena Velia

Ever pay $90 for a $9 burrito?

Don't fear.
Taxes may raise.
Prices may go up..
But just like in the message I received from Almighty G-D (Blessed be His Glorious Name) those who love Him will be surprised at the price after taxes, but even more surprised at how we will have more than enough. 
GIVE THANKS TO THE ONE AND ONLU LIVING G-D!
For He is our provider!
#ThankYouHaShem 
With love, 
Marie

(Previous post)

16th of Adar, 5783 Thursday March 9, 2023

Ever pay $90 for a $9 burrito?

So let me explain. I had a vision a week or 2 ago maybe 3 weeks. In this vision I walked up to one of those burrito selling carts. I asked for a burrito and the woman said it would be $9. So I said a great no problem and I handed her my card to pay for the burrito. When she handed me back the receipt I saw on the receipt that I had paid $90 for a $9 burrito.

And I was shocked I was like why is this $90 for a $9 burrito.?

The woman said taxes have gone up so now there is a $90 tax for every $10.

And this shocked me and I remember being shocked but I also remember thinking well good thing I have the money to pay for it because inflation and taxes are going up.

So the point I believe that my vision was G-D is warning us that yes prices are going up, but He wants us to have confidence and do not fear because He will ensure that we are always taking care of and we will have more than enough despite those who are trying to run and take away and still are finances .

Don’t fear.
Taxes may raise.
Prices may go up..
But just like in the message I received from Almighty G-D (Blessed be His Glorious Name) those who love Him will be surprised at the price after taxes, but even more surprised at how we will have more than enough.
GIVE THANKS TO THE ONE AND ONLY LIVING G-D!
For He is our provider!

#ThankYouHaShem

With love,
Rheena Velia

Leave a comment